**EUR/USD: Fed is famous for its unpredictability.

FOREX Fundamental analysis for EURUSD on September 16, 2024.**

When a person doubts the effectiveness of their actions, it is better for them to do less, but correctly. On the eve of the first federal funds rate cut since 2020, the opinions of market participants and Bloomberg analysts were divided. According to derivatives, the probability of monetary expansion by 50 basis points is 59%, while economists on average expect a more modest decrease of 25 bps. The EUR/USD pair is growing, following investor sentiment.

In the markets, you can often see a lurch from one extreme to the other. Derivatives suggest a 250 bps rate cut to 3% by the end of 2025, indicating a high risk of recession in the United States. However, stock markets are showing optimism: the S&P 500 index has grown by 18% since the beginning of the year and has almost reached a historic high, indicating...

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**EUR/USD: European currency goes on the offensive.

FOREX Fundamental analysis for EURUSD on September 13, 2024.**

The market turned out to be adamant, and the dollar began to decline. The probability that the Fed will cut the interest rate by 50 basis points in September has increased from 13% to 45%. The chances of a large-scale monetary expansion increased after the release of data indicating a slowdown in inflation and a weak labor market in the United States. The ECB stimulated the strengthening of the euro against the dollar, and additional factors fueled the speeches of former head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York William Dudley, who called on the Federal Reserve to act decisively, while expectations of a decrease in the growth rate of the PCE indicator in the United States also intensified...

Read more: https://indexaco.com/blog/eurusd-european-currency-goes-on-the-offensive

**EUR/USD: Christine Lagarde can disperse the pair's decline.

FOREX Fundamental analysis for EURUSD on September 12, 2024.**

The August inflation report in the United States sobered the treasury bond market, caused fluctuations on American stock markets and rocked currency trading on forex. The acceleration of core inflation by 0.3% over the month made investors doubt the beginning of an aggressive cycle of easing the Fed's monetary policy. This led to an increase in bond yields, which only recently fell to a two-year low, and gave the EUR/USD bears a chance to approach the important 1.1 level.

Read more: https://indexaco.com/blog/eurusd-christine-lagarde-can-disperse-the-pairs-decline