*?? *In Ireland, an elected councillor from India uses ChatGPT to generate her political opinionsTweet

Token Cost of GPT-4 level models over time

Cost of 1M tokens has dropped from $180 to $0.75 in ~18 months = 240x cheaper.

— FWIW, none of the cheap ones are quite to the quality of real GPT-4 on coding, the only real job where AI matters right now, and who cares if they’re cheaper when they’re not yet quite good enough to really do the jobs they could.

Industry wasted last 2 years making models cheaper rather than pushing forward the state of the art.

Living in the future

State of AI

Chatbot convinces woman to kill her dog.

AI leans communist.

Article

ChatGPT can accurately estimate height from photos

“The girls are using ChatGPT to see if men are lying about their height on dating apps”

“Upload 4 pictures, it uses proportions and surroundings to estimate height.”

“I tested it on 10 friends & family members - all estimates were within 1 inch of their real height”

Article

State of OpenAI

Update: AI training compute used for top LLMs grows by ~5x per year
That’s a doubling every ~5 months, far faster than the 18 months of Moore’s Law.

Notice that this claims that Gemini Ultra used more compute than GPT-4,

but Gemini Ultra is reportedly far worse than GPT-4 at coding. Something doesn’t add up.

Conclusion:

Massive increases in raw LLM ability are coming, far beyond GPT-4 ability, but not quite yet.

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